Big 12 Regular Season Title (if that still matters to you)
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https://twitter.com/kenpomeroy/status/1491503909440950273?s=21
An interesting read about another team that dominates in conference.
Particularly liked the concept that Gonzaga has the best record of any team against the top six conferences and still loses 20% of those games which means winning 6 in a row vs quality opponents (needed for a national championship) is almost always a long shot for EVERY team.
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Thought I’d bump this thread now that we are past the toughest stretch of the schedule in conference.
Sitting a full game up with 8 games to go.
Of those 8 only 2 are against ranked opponents and only 3 road games left.
Anyone still see 11-7 on the table?
Also, what happened to ISU? Remember when we thought they were good? Seems like a long time ago.
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@benshawks08 said in Big 12 Regular Season Title (if that still matters to you):
https://twitter.com/kenpomeroy/status/1491503909440950273?s=21
An interesting read about another team that dominates in conference.
Particularly liked the concept that Gonzaga has the best record of any team against the top six conferences and still loses 20% of those games which means winning 6 in a row vs quality opponents (needed for a national championship) is almost always a long shot for EVERY team.
It’s wild, if you have a 90% chance of winning each game individually, you’re only a coin flip to win all 6. At 80%, you’ll only pull it off about 25% of the time. Say you’re a 1 seed and the first game is a gimme and you’re a 90% favorite in the remaining 5, you’ll cut down the nets 60% of the time, 1/3 of the time if an 80% favorite. S/O to Prof. Haug at KU for drilling probability into my head. DSCI 202 can still GTH
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@FarmerJayhawk said in Big 12 Regular Season Title (if that still matters to you):
@benshawks08 said in Big 12 Regular Season Title (if that still matters to you):
https://twitter.com/kenpomeroy/status/1491503909440950273?s=21
An interesting read about another team that dominates in conference.
Particularly liked the concept that Gonzaga has the best record of any team against the top six conferences and still loses 20% of those games which means winning 6 in a row vs quality opponents (needed for a national championship) is almost always a long shot for EVERY team.
It’s wild, if you have a 90% chance of winning each game individually, you’re only a coin flip to win all 6. At 80%, you’ll only pull it off about 25% of the time. Say you’re a 1 seed and the first game is a gimme and you’re a 90% favorite in the remaining 5, you’ll cut down the nets 60% of the time, 1/3 of the time if an 80% favorite. S/O to Prof. Haug at KU for drilling probability into my head. DSCI 202 can still GTH
Curious what the odds at craps are. Maybe calling it a crap shoot is generous!
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I also don’t think there’s a team this year with that 90% chance to win every game. There are rare years where there is a truly dominant team that’s just better but this year doesn’t really have one. Make me feel a little better about our chances knowing everyone is really a long shot this year.
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@benshawks08 Craps odds are easy to find. Use Google and search for “craps payout charts.” Compare the payouts to what you find for “craps dice odds” and then you can see how various payouts set by casinos are good or bad. Or horrible on many cruise ships…
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Landen Lucas interviewing EJ right now:
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@benshawks08 I found a great one:
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@Jethro said in Big 12 Regular Season Title (if that still matters to you):
Landen Lucas interviewing EJ right now:
Just started listening to these podcasts. Pretty enjoyable!
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@benshawks08 11-7? That’s 3-5 with games against Baylor and Texas, but also Silo Tech, Okie St, OU, and TCU. Don’t see us going 3-5 against that. I think we’ll go 6-2 pretty easily. I think we end up 14-4 and win outright. I think we probably lose at Baylor, and a random game. I do think we whip Texas ass in the rematch.
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@Jethro The 11-7 was a call back to some of the posters above who were confident this was the worst KU team Self has ever produced.
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@benshawks08 It’s really good stuff. That channel has Landen on, along with the Miller Bros ( Archie Miller and Stubby Miller) at times who analyze and breakdown alot of our games. They also break down the top teams, so it’s very interesting to watch the science involved in the game. I gave them a subscribe.
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@benshawks08 I don’t think they thought we would be 8-2, leading the B12 by a game at this point. The Baylor myth is strong like bull.
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@Jethro said in Big 12 Regular Season Title (if that still matters to you):
@benshawks08 11-7? That’s 3-5 with games against Baylor and Texas, but also Silo Tech, Okie St, OU, and TCU. Don’t see us going 3-5 against that. I think we’ll go 6-2 pretty easily. I think we end up 14-4 and win outright. I think we probably lose at Baylor, and a random game. I do think we whip Texas ass in the rematch.
I agree Jethro -I can see us Only losing at Baylor - then again MAYBE - MAYBE Baylor & WV at Morgantown- - -I think 15-3 is a possibility or at worst 14-4
I think you are gonna see another ol fashion butt whipping when Texas comes to the phog- -they didn’t defend us worth a crap we shot 56% for the night. - -It was our TO’S and missed later free throws that killed us - - that and that brick the idiot put up bout broke the back board and it went in
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@benshawks08 said in Big 12 Regular Season Title (if that still matters to you):
@Jethro The 11-7 was a call back to some of the posters above who were confident this was the worst KU team Self has ever produced.
I will confess that I was one of those who thought 12-6 was distinctly possible. But, I also noted that was less a comment about this Hawks team - neither the worst nor the best of the Self era - than it was about the overall quality and depth of the B12 this year. We’ve seen that play out night after night, apropos of OU’s beat down of TTU last night. Although it’s been a knife’s edge, sitting at 8-2 right now with 5 of the remaining 8 at home puts us in a pretty good position. But we need to hold serve. We still need to play at Baylor, WVU will be tougher with Sherman back, and winning back to back games with TCU won’t be easy.
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Sure looking like 13-5 gets this done. So all we have to do is 4-3 down the stretch. Still have KSU and OSU at home, two against TCU, and at WVU. I sure hope we can get 4 of those. Should beat Texas at AFH too. At Waco is gravy
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@FarmerJayhawk I don’t see three more losses for Baylor with their remaining schedule.
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@BShark still get to add to the banner if we split
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I heard on the radio, somebody from Baylor, the guy I can’t spell, hurt his knee today. Tchatchoua
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@Crimsonorblue22 said in Big 12 Regular Season Title (if that still matters to you):
I heard on the radio, somebody from Baylor, the guy I can’t spell, hurt his knee today.
Unfortunately for Baylor, it looks like Tchatchoua may be done. I hate to see that happen, and mean that seriously.
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@DCHawker yes! Is their transfer still out too? Boy do we know how that sucks!
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@Crimsonorblue22 said in Big 12 Regular Season Title (if that still matters to you):
@DCHawker yes! Is their transfer still out too? Boy do we know how that sucks!
Cryer did not play again today. They haven’t been at full strength for a while…
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@Crimsonorblue22 said in Big 12 Regular Season Title (if that still matters to you):
I heard on the radio, somebody from Baylor, the guy I can’t spell, hurt his knee today. Tchatchoua
It looked really bad. I couldn’t tell from the video if it was non contact or he caught the heel of a UT player going up the floor, but he hyperextended his knee big time. Baylor officials are saying it’s a “significant” injury and he’s out indefinitely so I’m guessing they’re waiting for swelling to go down enough to do an MRI and see what all he tore in his knee.
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@Texas-Hawk-10 said in Big 12 Regular Season Title (if that still matters to you):
@Crimsonorblue22 said in Big 12 Regular Season Title (if that still matters to you):
I heard on the radio, somebody from Baylor, the guy I can’t spell, hurt his knee today. Tchatchoua
It looked really bad. I couldn’t tell from the video if it was non contact or he caught the heel of a UT player going up the floor, but he hyperextended his knee big time. Baylor officials are saying it’s a “significant” injury and he’s out indefinitely so I’m guessing they’re waiting for swelling to go down enough to do an MRI and see what all he tore in his knee.
From what I could tell see - he just crumpled right about half court, didn’t look like anybody made any contact - -but dunno know for sure
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I still think we have a very serious shot at 14-4 for the league I think w lose at Baylor but other then that - TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS
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Been a challenging year for Baylor. Hate to see players go down for any team. I don’t see a Baylor repeat in March.
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KU ends the regular season with 4 games in 8 days starting with the Baylor game in Waco. KU gets 2 days if and then has 3 games in 5 days and all of those games are against teams likely to be in the NCAA tournament and potentially all against top half of the Big 12 teams as well.
I feel like 5-2 to close out the season is doable and really 6-1 is a strong possibility as well which would guarantee a split at worst and probably outright because I don’t think Baylor finishes 6-0.
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@jayballer67 I found the slow mo replay to be so bad I had to look away, which doesn’t happen very often.
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@Jethro Yeah, I found a replay of the Tchatchoua injury and one viewing was enough.
I suppose it’s possible he just sort of dislocated/hyperextended the knee, but it had to mess something up.
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@Jethro said in Big 12 Regular Season Title (if that still matters to you):
@jayballer67 I found the slow mo replay to be so bad I had to look away, which doesn’t happen very often.
ya I hate to see that for anybody. - -I mean he was just running up the floor , didn’t really hit anyone or get caught up - just sucks was really ugly
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I’d hate to say it is looking pretty good, but the way I’m looking at it a share of the B12 title is basically in hand. Baylor has to win out and we have to drop 2 of our next 6.
We have WVU, KSU, Baylor, TCU, TCU and UT.
That WVU game is a bit of a trap game, but they just don’t have the horses. KSU already had their superbowl against us and it wasn’t enough. Baylor will be ready for the next matchup. But TCU we should get both of those.
Baylor has @ Tech and @ UT left on their schedule. I think it’ll be tough for them to win out.
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@Kcmatt7 Let’s win all 6 and remove any doubts who the best team in B12 is.
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I like our chances of winning outright or sharing our conference title… but learned never to take for granted.
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To not finish first, KU will have to lose 3 of their next 6, and Baylor or TTU would have to go undefeated.
Tech could do it if they win at UT on Saturday. Baylor could do it, but will need to win at home against us and on the road in Austin as well.
Barring a pretty unlikely meltdown the B12 is locked up.
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We’re one injury away from being in a really bad situation because we have no bench. If that injury ended up being Dejuan, KU doesn’t have a back up point guard right now.
If anybody listened/read excerpts from Hawk Talk, Self flat out said Yesufu is not a point guard and Pettiford is only playing right now to give Harris a minute or two because that’s all Pettiford can do. So if anybody thinks Self won’t play Remy if Remy gets healthy, they are mistaken because Remy is the only other point guard right now.
As long as KU stays healthy, they should win the league, but it’s not a guarantee because of how thin KU’s depth is right now.
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Agree we are an injury away from how every season goes really. We always have an issue keeping players healthy.
However I think this Remy situation is more then the knee and that’s why I would not expect him back even if injury forced Selfs hand. Just my two cents
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Today remy told self he feels better
but he’s not playing this weekend. Covid also scares me too, almost as much as an injury.
