2021-22 PER's & Stats
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@BeddieKU23 said in 2021-22 PER's & Stats:
Good point. But most of his issues center around not being able to put the ball in the hoop.
And living only out on the 3 pt line.
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We are seeing none of the Jalen from last year… where he would drive hard in the paint. He just looks lost out there. And… he isn’t hitting his shots. Sign of confidence issues.
Kind of wondering if he is in Self’s “suffering box?” I have this feeling like there will come a day this year where he busts free and it will bring this team to a higher level.
Hope I’m right!
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Jalens a guy who can be so valuable to this team without scoring the ball especially the way Och and CB are playing. I hope he starts concentrating the other aspects of the game and stops pressing so much offensively. Play his role and I believe things will turn around for him. He’s just too good to be this irrelevant
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Confidence kills (at both ends of the spectrum). He’s a kid still figuring it out. Year 3 and its still an issue.
Jalen’s had some obstacles. Remember KU wasn’t his first choice and he came here after Beilein B-lined to the NBA momentarily. Then he missed a whole year with the injury. Came back motivated (after rumors were he considered leaving) and surprised most of this fan-base how prepared he was to contribute. We don’t beat some ranked teams last year without Jalen’s outstanding play. The 2nd half of the season was a bit of a letdown for him and I don’t think he’s shaken it yet. I really thought we’d see a more mature Jalen on the court and so far that just hasn’t happened. As I mentioned before and you did, if he has a game where the lid comes off the basket I think you see him turn it up a few notches. Saturday is a perfect day to get that rolling.
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Maybe Self is grooming him to be that valuable “6th man” this year? Not sure Jalen is psyched for that role.
Think about what kind of weapon he could be at 6th man? Coming in around the 14 minute mark in the first half… both teams settled into a tone of play and then here comes this guy with high energy, grabbing every available rebound and then pushing the tempo up the court… then physically taking it to the hole.
@BeddieKU23 … you may be on to something with that last post. He may be a very temperamental player that also may be a challenge to coach. I thought he would become a volume scorer… but true volume scorers all have bad memories on their last performances, especially the bad ones… even can’t remember what they did earlier in the same game.
At this point, it seems his issue is more than missing the first few games. One thing… he definitely seems to be lacking confidence.
Gosh… imagine we have 3 players averaging around 20 ppg?! That would be nuts and also would take even more pressure off Big Dave needing to put up numbers in the paint!
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The maturation process for some just takes longer. Look at the transformation of Ochai and Christian this season. Like so many before them when they become upperclassmen and lock in. I was really hoping Jalen was going to be in that group. We’ll see what happens. He’s got to embrace the role he’s in and keep grinding. That 6th man role is always a valuable one at KU.
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Development of CB has effected Jalens playing time. Out worked?
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@Crimsonorblue22 said in 2021-22 PER's & Stats:
Development of CB has effected Jalens playing time. Out worked?
CB and Och took huge leaps, Jalen seems to have become worse somehow (though I think there is a mental aspect).
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@BShark seriously can’t figure it out. He hit a down slide last yr, before the covid. He knows there’s no spot in the starting lineup. That’s mental. Bust your butt outside of practice.
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@Crimsonorblue22 said in 2021-22 PER's & Stats:
@BShark Bust your butt outside of practice.
Instead his butt got busted! Sorry, sorry I’ll show myself out
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@BShark said in 2021-22 PER's & Stats:
@Crimsonorblue22 said in 2021-22 PER's & Stats:
Development of CB has effected Jalens playing time. Out worked?
CB and Och took huge leaps, Jalen seems to have become worse somehow (though I think there is a mental aspect).
I think he’s uncomfortable, realizing that they’re both more talented than he is. He’s going to have to come off the bench as a sub 5 or 4, about 15 minutes per game tops. Zach deserves and needs some pt this season while getting ready for next.
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Pity we don’t have laugh emojis!
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I’m definitely not checking Jalen off my list. I still have faith he will come on big this year. Partially, I hold on to Self’s statement about how much quicker the team is with him in the lineup. However… I do think the team has been speeding up some without him on the floor.
Jalen is like any of these guys… regardless of athleticism… if you want to be effective on offense, watch the Zags and how those guys cut to the rim when off-ball. He could be a total beast at this!
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@drgnslayr said in 2021-22 PER's & Stats:
I’m definitely not checking Jalen off my list. I still have faith he will come on big this year. Partially, I hold on to Self’s statement about how much quicker the team is with him in the lineup. However… I do think the team has been speeding up some without him on the floor.
Jalen is like any of these guys… regardless of athleticism… if you want to be effective on offense, watch the Zags and how those guys cut to the rim when off-ball. He could be a total beast at this!
I get you, and he pushes the ball up the court, but is living (and not very well) out at the three point line.
With Dave at the 5, Braun and Ochai doing what they do and they both need to keep doing it, and Remy and JCL starting to come on and others also contributing where does that leave Jalen? For real? Can he out rebound Braun or Dave? Where will he position himself?
I am onboard with what @BShark said, he needs to be Dave’s backup. Why? Because he needs to play inside, only occassionally drifting out. He cannot play alongside Dave, it hurts the flow of the team.
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I don’t think he’s a legit 5 defender unless we convert to an X-axis team… (not gonna happen).
Mitch is our 5 backup.
Jalen is our best rebounder.
If we flip to Self’s new version of “hi-lo” then Jalen works fine… sort of like the Memphis team we beat in '08. Motion offense… dribble drive… feed the paint when it works. Starting to look like Self is figuring this out anyways. We don’t win on a traditional hi-lo. Teams aren’t really taking Dave as the ultimate threat and he can sometimes do more to clog the paint then be our best option in the paint. I don’t want to trash Dave… he has received plenty of unwarranted heat already. Dave is good as long as we use him properly.
Having 4 perimeter players all capable of driving the paint sounds like a winning strategy to me. I guarantee you Mark Few would LOVEEEE to have our options!
Jalen can handle the 4 spot and have him basically opposite (along the baseline) with Och… and use Och for the backdoor alleyoops… both guys slashing towards the paint… both guys popping out anywhere on the trey line… both guys cutting to the rim to take a feed (Zags style). Unlimited options.
We just can’t have that offense where we put 4 guys on the perimeter and try to out-speed pass the defense. That’s when we know we are flat (as has always been the case and probably half my rants on here throughout the years).
This has to be one of Bill’s more entertaining teams to scheme offense around! Has to be!
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Some interesting stats
KU had 49 dunks last year, they already have 51 in 13 games.
McCormack only makes 55% of his close 2’s. Remy & Harris are also under 60% but they are also 6’0 tall.
Ochai should stop shooting long 2’s, only hitting 30% clip. Remy shooting 57% on them so its a good shot for him.
Jalen Wilson shooting 73% on close 2’s so maybe he should only shoot layups cause he can’t make anything else.
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The metrics have not been kind to KU this week.
PER’s- Since conference play 9 of 12 players have seen their PER drop several points.
Och with over 300 points in 15 games. Heck of season for him so far.
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@BeddieKU23 Not really that surprising that PERs have dropped so much since conference play started. Our conference opponents, even OSU, are probably 3 of the 4 best teams we’ve played all season. Certainly the 3 best defensive teams. Our non-conference schedule revealed almost nothing meaningful about this team - other than we could lose to a 6 loss team comprised mostly of freshmen. Most years, we are near the top in Quad 1 wins. Not this year - I think we have just 2 or 3 at this point. Some teams have 10 or more.
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Lots of Quad 1 and 2 wins to get in conference play + Kentucky still on the books.
Will be interesting to see if PER’s revert back up or this trend is something more concerning
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@BeddieKU23 said in 2021-22 PER's & Stats:
Lots of Quad 1 and 2 wins to get in conference play + Kentucky still on the books.
Will be interesting to see if PER’s revert back up or this trend is something more concerning
If the current play continues with a healthy Remy I will be concerned.
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Will he get healthy is certainly my question at this point.
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@BeddieKU23 said in 2021-22 PER's & Stats:
Will he get healthy is certainly my question at this point.
Bill sounds… not optimistic about him coming back super soon.
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@BShark said in 2021-22 PER's & Stats:
@BeddieKU23 said in 2021-22 PER's & Stats:
Lots of Quad 1 and 2 wins to get in conference play + Kentucky still on the books.
Will be interesting to see if PER’s revert back up or this trend is something more concerning
If the current play continues with a healthy Remy I will be concerned.
I wouldn’t neccessarily be drooling about playing Kentucky this year. Night and Day from last year and we have No answer not even close for their inside guys this year
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Yeah Oscar. He might break the rebound record against us
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@BeddieKU23 said in 2021-22 PER's & Stats:
Yeah Oscar. He might break the rebound record against us
very easily could nobody handle him
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Shibway(lol) we need to pray He gets in foul trouble. He did a few times against us.
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After a " Good for the Soul beatdown" here’s some updated stats.
Ochai Agbaji is now #35th on the all-time scoring list halfway through his stellar senior season.
At his current scoring rate (20.6ppg) Ochai would be in #19 place by the end of the regular season just passing Kenny Gregory and a few shy of Jeff Boschee. An extended run in both the Big-12 tournament and NCAA tournament could see him jump all the way to #14 just shy of Devonte Graham, at his current scoring rate.
At any rate Agbaji has a good chance at cracking the Top 20 all-time. What an achievement that’s in his sights after coming to KU as an unheralded recruit and even being red-shirting his freshman year for half that season. Ochai your a stud!!
Uptick in points for Wilson getting over 100 on the season.
KU got back to pre- Iowa St numbers
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Updated after K-ST.
Och can score the rock!
Jalen’s PER has skyrocketed up lately. Och at an Elite level for a Guard
Kenpom did not like our dramatic win against K-St especially defensively. Obviously we know we sucked on that end for a large stretch.
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@BeddieKU23 said in 2021-22 PER's & Stats:
Updated after K-ST.
Och can score the rock!
Jalen’s PER has skyrocketed up lately. Och at an Elite level for a Guard
Kenpom did not like our dramatic win against K-St especially defensively. Obviously we know we sucked on that end for a large stretch.
Yeah 1.45 ppp for the first half is going to have an impact on overall defensive stats! Yikes. But I do think our defense is improving after that game believe it or not. That second half showed the team (and self) can get stops consistently when dialed in and with a sound game plan.
I’m wondering if less switching might do this team good on d. Just to turn up the individual pressure won players to stay engaged.
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@benshawks08 I definitely think it is weird we don’t do more things like have Harris deny their best player the ball like we did with Pack.
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@Kcmatt7 Seems like maybe the team has struggled so much with the fundamentals Self values that perhaps there hasn’t been as much focus on game planning for individuals/teams. I think having an active Dave in the paint can really help this team defensively. At least there’d be a big body jumping and flailing at lay up attempts.
I really do think they’ll get it worked out by the end of the season. Not to the point where they are an elite defensive team, but a solid one none the less.
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Kenpom rankings a bit weird this year. Only 2 top 10 defenses in the top 10 teams. And they are 10th and 8th. The fewest of any year.
3 would end up tying it, and there is a lot of season left. But it could be a sign of a wild tourney…
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Interesting that 7 of the top 10 offenses are in the Top 10 rankings.
Arizona sitting at #3 after getting completely clobbered last night by #10 UCLA. Really Zona didn’t even look competitive. So are the rankings way off?
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Updated after the Tech Win. Och sits 16 pts away from tying Mario Chalmers for 30th all time on the scoring list
PER’s
Kenpom really hates our defense
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Updated post Baylor spanking
Ochai sits at #30 all time. He needs 16 points tonight to pass Marcus Morris, 18 to pass Adonis Jordan & 20 to pass Richard Scott.
PER’s
Win was good for Kenpom.
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@BeddieKU23 Do the points totals include NCAA & Conference Tournament games?
Just something to think about, Och missed time as a freshman (thinking he would redshirt). And then he missed an NCAA tournament run. Plus last years conference tournament got called early right? They only played 30 games. Pre-covid schedules were at least 35 games.
I mean he has easily been screwed out of 22 games. He should probably have like an additional 150-200 points. Not sure where that would put him, but just throwing it out there.
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Yes this incorporates all games played for Och. He has had an unlucky run of it when you think of games missed due to things that were not in his control.
If we took his 13 ppg career average x 22 games to his current total that would be 1356 + 286 = would put him #15 all time going into tonight’s game. It’s a big difference that he doesn’t have those extra games
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@BeddieKU23 I really think the bigger flaw for KU’s Kenpom ranking this year is the lack of versatility in the B12.
Basically screws them over because a good defensive showing against the 100th ranked offense doesn’t help them at all. Most conferences have a variety of tempos/styles. B12 this year is maybe the most boring conference in the country.
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Yeah style of play in the league this year is bad. I think defenses are better this year because everyone has 25 year olds up and down the lineup.
8th is about right besides when we play like we did Saturday then obviously we are capable of being ranked higher in metrics/polls. If this past week was the start of one of those KU runs we may see a rise up on everything. We’ll see.
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I noticed on Kempom that we are now ranked 3rd in toughest schedule.
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@Kcmatt7 said in 2021-22 PER's & Stats:
@BeddieKU23 I really think the bigger flaw for KU’s Kenpom ranking this year is the lack of versatility in the B12.
Basically screws them over because a good defensive showing against the 100th ranked offense doesn’t help them at all. Most conferences have a variety of tempos/styles. B12 this year is maybe the most boring conference in the country.
I’m wondering if this will be a problem for KU come tournament time. Rankings don’t really matter but the fact that KU seems to play the same type of team on repeat for the entire conference season may leave us vulnerable to different styles of play (see Kentucky game). Sure it’s good to go against tough defenses all the time and quality opponents all around but the diversity of styles, tempos, athleticism, etc. is really lacking in league.
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Just did some scrolling on this thread and interesting that Dave has been pretty consistent in PER for most of the year after a couple of bad games to start. Och has come back to earth a bit while still being pretty dang good. I’d have thought Och would have been leading this team in all the PER stats all year but that doesn’t seem to be the case. Did we undervalue Dave when he wasn’t passing the eye test?
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@benshawks08 said in 2021-22 PER's & Stats:
Just did some scrolling on this thread and interesting that Dave has been pretty consistent in PER for most of the year after a couple of bad games to start. Och has come back to earth a bit while still being pretty dang good. I’d have thought Och would have been leading this team in all the PER stats all year but that doesn’t seem to be the case. Did we undervalue Dave when he wasn’t passing the eye test?
FYI his per was 27 last yr. It’s easier for bigs to have higher numbers. Och having an elite level showing for the most part up 7 pts from last yr. Brauns numbers also way higher this season, almost 7 as well.
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Personally you can take all the Ken Prom BS and flush it down the toilet. What matters is who wins and who loses. My opinion only.
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Ken Pom is not perfect by any means but it’s the best thing, I think, out there that accounts pace of each game and opponents vrs just the final score.
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@rockchalkwyo Statistics don’t wear a uniform. There is so much that statistics can’t cover, that to me, makes them pretty much worthless. They have no way of knowing the emotional aspects of a particular game. Do they know anything about the injury status of a team. So many variables that can’t be quantified that it makes gauging a team virtually impossible. I agree that statistics on a team make for an interesting debate but I sure as hell not going to bet my money on them.