Lagerald vs Svi
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@justanotherfan said:
with five guys, we can give everyone 20-30 minutes without over-taxing anyone.
But we won’t.
That being said, nice post as usual.
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Vick will be a very nice surprise. Even Fraschilla seems impressed…
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I believe Vick could play 3 in a pinch. Also, I would not be surprised to see Lightfoot play some 3; he likes to bang inside but he also has a decent outside touch. I wish Ellis would have started playing the 3 earlier but unfortunately KU did not have many options at the 4, this year KU is deeper at the 4 and Lightfoot could well play some 3.
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Could we see Bragg at the 3 if Udoka is in with Lucas?
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I think we will see Svi more at the 3 spot and Vick play the 1 and 2 spots. DG cant play PG as well, kinda like the 08 team as in 3 guys can bring it up the floor (Robinson, Chalmers and Collins). I also think with Self hinting at going small we could see Bragg or lightfoot get some PT at the 3 spot I like our depth a lot personally. I hope Mason doesn’t average 38 minutes a game this year, that’s tough on a guy for 35+ games. I like a starting line up of Mason, Graham, Jackson, Bragg and Lucas, a tall (outside of mason), long, very athletic team that can defend and push the ball at will. Then Vick, Svi, Udoka and lightfoot as subs. I know self usually likes his 8 or 9 man rotation so I doubt any else gets a ton of PT outside of mop up time. I don’t really see Coleby getting a ton of minutes this year coming off of his injury but who knows till we get a few weeks in and see who has made the best of their time.
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@kjayhawks if we go small I think he’ll be using josh or Svi at 4, Bragg or Lucas at 5. Having 2 6’8" wings is a bonus. Not sure Bragg could guard a quick 3, like Naz long for example. Lots of options w/this group. Can’t wait to see what they can do. It all starts w/D
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I don’t see putting Bragg at the 3. We lose the advantage that way. Who is going to guard Lucas or Buke or Coleby more than 10 feet from the basket? Nobody. So the moment you isolate Bragg downlow against a smaller player then he gets doubled. Won’t work this season.
Now putting JJ or Svi at the 4 strictly depends on whether or not Buke or Coleby can play. If Lightfoot gets time this season either he is a competitor like Kevin Young or we are not doing so hot.
I don’t see both Coleby and Buke being guys that struggle though. One of them will be ready to play 20+ mpg if not both of them playing 15 mpg.
I hope Buke just is too much to handle down low and we have the depth to dominate.
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It sounds as if Self really is open to playing a 4 guard lineup.
Saying its dictated because of personnel is a reflection of just how far away Coleby & Udoka are from being reliable options in the post. That is the underlying message I got from him being so open about this flexibility in his offense
Going to be an interesting season.
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Self has to have the 4-guard option. That doesn’t mean he will necessarily use it.
If Lucas and Bragg can both play 30 minutes and Udoka / Coleby share 20, then for that game the 4-guard option is…optional.
Those are ifs.
There are ifs in the other direction: if there is foul trouble; if there is injury trouble; if Udoka / Coleby don’t come through. In that case playing 4 guards becomes a necessity.
I am sure playing small would be pleasing to the eye and to the won/loss record.
I am also sure it would mean more minutes for Frank and Devonte. How many of you want that?
Please, bigs, carry your weight!
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The 4 guard lineup could also be a consideration because of the makeup of the Big-12 this year. Down league for bigs, lots of guard oriented teams.
Maybe he’s taking some pointers from what happened to us against Villanova. Beaten by a bunch of guards/wings and 1 post player. He’s seen enough of ISU’s action to know a guard heavy rotation with the right personnel works. We have that in theory this year.
The other side of it is getting his 5 best players on the court. Jackson & Svi or Jackson & Vick on the court seems like an offensive paradise paired with Bragg! Defensively, eh I’ll wait to see if, in fact, it does happen.
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The formula never changes.
As usual, guard your man, help, protect, feed the post, and don’t let it stick keep you in the rotation.
Stealing possessions and making open looks get you more minutes
Vick and Svi are fighting for the same backup minutes at 2 and 3.
Self will juggle Frank and Devonte at 1 90% of the time.
The best ball handler between Vick and Svi will get trained in the 10% of pg minutes for the rainy day of injury to Frank, or Devonte.
Svi will probably be the guy if equal, because of seniority and experience.
But Vick was way young last season in age and could make a nonlinear leap in neural net grow in and steal the job because Self needs a long ball handler/defender for occasional matchups!
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@BeddieKU23 I read you with great respect as always, but what about Frank’s minutes and his degree of nickeduptness in March?
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@jayhawkeyes I honestly don’t think we will see Lucas and Udoka on the floor together very much if not at all. These are two really good players that do not complement each other very well. Neither is very mobile (guarding a quick 4, having to switch a screen or defend screen and roll) and neither is that great of a passer (I haven’t seen Udoka play very much yet). Both of them could create their own shots down low, rebound and set a heck of a screen. But I just don’t see them playing together very often
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Very good point Mason had a hobbled body in March. Unless he finds a way to take less of a punishment while having the same impact on the floor,we are probably at the mercy of his health.
It’s his last go-around, he should know that he can be aggressive, get into the lane and not take as much of a punishment as he’s taken in the past. Something like a controlled chaos would help him.
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@Statmachine Nice video, but good grief, don’t those refs know what a carry violation is?
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I think “dictated by personnel” is more of a reflection of the fact that the most talented players on this roster are Jackson, Graham, Bragg, Mason and Svi. Vick, Lucas, Udoka, Coleby, Lightfoot, etc. can all play, but four of the best five guys on this roster are perimeter players, maybe 5 of the best 6, but definitely 5 of the best 7.
Given that, you have to consider playing four of those guys at once, especially since Jackson and Svi are both big enough to handle some 4’s, and Vick can easily slide 1-3 against most college teams. It’s not a lineup I would show a lot, but it’s a lineup that has merit because you have to get your best players on the floor together and a lineup of Mason-Graham-Svi-Jackson-Bragg is arguably the best five KU has. I think Lucas and the other bigs will bring something to the table, but the best group is that group of five I listed.
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Frank doesn’t have 10 extra games to play like last year, so I think he’ll be fresher than last year. Vick and Svi are the real deal. I’d think Vick would be a little more adept at running point, but Svi is no slouch, either. What a great advantage to have 5 good ball handlers on the perimeter.
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“Could we see Bragg at the 3 if Udoka is in with Lucas?”
Wow… going big! Might that be as possible as us going small?
Everyone in here knows I’m an x-axis, small ball directed guy. I like the talk about going with a 4-guard offense SOME of the time.
Right now the talk is about a 4-guard offense.
Here is what I see. I believe we WILL see a 4-guard offense early in the year (at times). I think is to check out the possibilities of what we can do with 4 guards. It can only work if our 5 does a great job of protecting the basket. This may be in the mix because we need to give Vick and Svi plenty of floor action. We need them to be seasoned by year’s end. This is an effort to “coach for March.” We often have blasted Bill for not planning for March. This idea of a 4-guard offense can help us in two ways: first, it helps give Vick and Svi plenty of PT immediately and that will help us down the stretch. Second, it will give us another option in games that aren’t going well. A 4-guard offense puts lots of speed and energy on the floor for us.
We’ve already discussed BAD BALL returning. We don’t know what our offense will do this year. When we do go stale, it seems like energy is often the problem. A 4-guard offense is a way to add energy on the court.
Looking at it even a bit differently… might this be Bill getting influenced by the ghost of El Mayor from ISU? When we talk about “going small” we are actually still keeping up with the height of most teams. But we are putting in big guards as forwards. Might this create match-up opportunities for us? Heck yes! I can see us running isolation plays for guys like Josh or Svi in the low post.
My concern is the possible “thinness” of our backcourt. We are missing that extra big versatile guard this year with the loss of BG. We have to prepared for one of our guards to go down for a while.
However… there are pluses/minuses with depth. Having a lot of it also creates problems. Mostly… who gets the PT? Who will rust out on the bench? There have always been lots of great teams that only go 6 or 7 players.
I wonder what the impact of having so many “bigs” last year did to Bill’s perspective. Granted… our depth wasn’t all-star depth, but it was depth. It seemed that we finally came together only after Landen nailed down the 5. It is hard for a player to take ownership of his position if he isn’t the starter and holding on to the majority of minutes in that spot. Just look at what happened to Landen. His play jumped up considerably after he took ownership. The difference was night and day.
I have a feeling Bill will be on a “fishing expedition” in the early season… looking for players to step up and take ownership, becominc accountable.
Lots of questions in this thread… many directed at me. I wish I had answers, but actually, my motivation is to get all your opinions because I have as many questions as everyone else!
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Ultimately… we have some questions about some of our bigs. We should have learned a lesson last year… we had the same issue of not having a dominate alternative in the post until Bill gave the 5 to Landen. I don’t think we want to deal with that issue this year. We need to spend more of the year playing championship-quality ball tweaking to continue to improve, instead of faltering and just trying to get up to that level in March.
So what we need to do now is to solidify the strength of our core players. Bill wants Svi and Vick to become two of our core players for this year. They will have to be, if for no other reason than to give quality back up minutes at 1 - 3.
I am doubtful we can win a National Championship without quality play from Svi and Vick. They don’t have to dominate the game, but we need quality minutes from both of these players.
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Do you think the 4 guard possibility will be used based on matchup or because putting the most talented guys on the floor gives KU the best advantage?
I get this feeling based on the comments of going small is that Coleby, Udoka & Lightfoot are not ready to contribute in a fashion that would equal what bringing another guard into the game (Vick or Svi) could do.
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@drgnslayr I don’t know if its as much coaching for March as it is coaching for next year. Vick needs pt so he will be more comfortable playing along side Newman next year too! Its a win/win for KU if we can get Vick some seasoning before next season with the possibility of a mass exodus looming just around the corner.
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Love the comment about the Mayor. We know Bill and Fred have a good relationship and I’m sure if he’s really considering changing the status quo at KU its because he’s seen enough to finally believe in it. Jay Wright might have had a big influence as well when the lasting impression of last season is being beat by a bunch of guards/wings and 1 big, the same one that cut down the nets.
Is Bill finally learning that “adaptability” thing we always talk about here? Time will tell
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I’m not ready to pat all of us on the back for hammering Bill on the Mayor’s “match-up style” NBA offense into the dialogue last year, but I do feel like Bill has been impacted by the Mayor and what he did with a bunch of small players. So imagine a bit of “Mayor offense” with players that are larger and more talented?
I do think Bill is looking at his players and trying to give the most talented players (most talented in helping us) plenty of PT.
There is so many ways to think about our team. So many possibilities.
What if Bill suddenly thought, “I’m going 100% on defensive strength!”
What would be our lineup?
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@drgnslayr how tall of big are we playing? Not sure who our 5 would be.
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@justanotherfan wondering if Vick is doing better than Svi? Coleby won’t play at all at 80%
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Agree 100% that it puts the most talented guys on the floor. I think Coleby, Udoka and Lightfoot can help this year, but compared to Jackson, Svi, Vick, Mason and Graham, those three aren’t quite on that level. The only big guy I would really put up there is Bragg. Lucas will obviously contribute, but he’s still probably only the sixth or seventh most talented player on this team.
This team should go small because it’s best players are perimeter guys, and they can still keep size on the floor with Jackson and Svi.
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Defensively I don’t see a huge change from last year if we play “small”. Perry was not tall as a post player and neither was Jamari and neither guy was really known as a great defender in the post in general. I plan to see better defense this year no matter who is on the floor, small lineup or big.
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@joeloveshawks Great point about Jamari and Perry. Svi and Josh are both as big as them yet more mobile with better handles.
I’m not really worried defensively with a four guard lineup. We have seen teams go to the final four and win the championship with smaller teams- Villanova last year, UConn in in '14, and Butler back to back years in '10 and '11. It is more about rotations, staying aggressive and clogging the paint than it is about height, although that can help. Josh is known for being a good defender and having a lot of committment on that end of the floor, and he is as tall, maybe taller, than Perry and Mari, so we should be fine there.
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I think we are talking about keeping either 6’10" Landen or 7’ Udoka at the 5. And if Carlton has firmed up his defense, he could go for some minutes at the 5.
Svi is listed as 6’8". So his height at the 4 would be like a wash with Perry’s height last year.
We aren’t really “going small” as much as putting reasonably tall guys with more handling skills at the 4.
And then Josh is a natural 3. That position used to be called “shooting forward” but I like how people call it “swing guard” because of the athleticism and handling skills expected at that position now.
I remember the day when the 3 and 4 were basically interchangeable. The concepts were 2 guards, 2 forwards and a center. Amazing how quickly the game changes.
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@mihawk I agree unless, ha! Self goes zone. I’d never do it. I’d take quick over big anytime
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@drgnslayr I meant what bigs we are playing against. We could really go fast if we wanted to.
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From a lineup perspective there are a couple of things we really can’t do, and a few others that we would like to do.
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Can’t play Udoka, Landen and Coleby at the same time. It’s just spacing death to put two of those guys on the floor at the same time. You basically have to have Svi, Bragg or Jackson at the 4 to make things work offensively.
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You don’t really want Graham and Mason sitting at the same time. So that means you need to find 5 minutes of rest for each of them each half. Ideally, that means one of them comes out at the under 12 TV timeout, and then comes back in for the other after the under 8 timeout in the first half, then in the second half, one comes out at the under 16, then replaces the other after the under 12.
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You want to manage Bragg’s exposure to bruising guys. With Lucas, Udoka and Coleby around, there’s really no reason Bragg should be banging against some 6-10, 280 big man. The fact that there’s three of them means Bragg should never be matched up with a guy he’s giving up 30-40 pounds to.
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You want to avoid playing anyone more than 33 minutes on a regular basis. In blowouts, you really want to have the ability to get Graham and Mason out with 5+ minutes left - no need to put the extra wear on those guys. In close games, you will have to ride them for their ball handling, but if you’re up 15-18, you can monitor their minutes so they maybe only play 8-10 minutes each in the second half of a double digit game. That means playing Vick 20-25 minutes when games start getting a bit of cushion.
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You want your best lineup (currently Mason-Graham-Svi-Jackson-Bragg) to play at least 5 minutes together in each game. That lineup is a great run starting lineup because they can hit you with that 14-2 run that takes a close game and turns it into a double digit matchup.
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I might add for special defensive schemes, we might play box and 1 or triangle and 2 w/Vick. At least wear em down awhile.
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@justanotherfan said:
You want your best lineup (currently Mason-Graham-Svi-Jackson-Bragg) to play at least 5 minutes together in each game. That lineup is a great run starting lineup because they can hit you with that 14-2 run that takes a close game and turns it into a double digit matchup.
Our team is going to go on offensive blowout mode ALOT this year. We’re going to dominate teams on both ends of the court. It’ll be like a jail break.
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If I’m not mistaken, didn’t Duke win the championship playing four guards around Okafor?
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@HawkChamp I believe you’re correct. But, Coach Self won’t bet the house on playing that way. He will only use it as a weapon in certain cases, limited minutes.
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@jaybate-1.0 Im all for those non linear leaps in neural net connections. Fascinating stuff the brain is. Billions of connections and can be compared to the number of stars in the universe
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@drgnslayr solid post at #32. My main questions revolve around our bigs this year. Basically, how good of a rim protector will Bragg and Udoka be and will they be able to stay out of foul trouble.
We already know what our returning guys are going to bring and they should get better than last year.
Bragg will have an increase roll though. Will Bragg > Perry their sophomore seasons? Its unfair to compare Senior Perry to Sophomore Bragg. But I think Bragg may be a better soph.
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Based on what we have seen, the best and most likely lineup is: Mason, Graham, Jackson, Bragg and Lucas. Looking at how Lucas finished last season, I just don’t see him not starting. The lineup might change as the season goes by but I would put money that this is the lineup at the start of the season.
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I seriously doubt we ever see a KU line up (outside of garbage time) that doesn’t involve either Mason or Graham on the floor because KU doesn’t have a third PG on the roster worthy of important minutes. Svi’s ball handling abilities are good enough to be the second guy, but not lead guard against D1 competition. Vick was turnover probe last year so unless that’s improved over the summer, Vick shouldn’t be handling the ball in any capacity that a PG normally would.
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I think it is safe to say we will be improved in the post on defense. The question is “how much?”
Can Udoka aggressively defend without fouling? We shall see. I’m sure Bill will run plenty of ref’d scrimmages in the coming weeks with real officiating to see how our new guys do.
Will Bragg be able to hold his ground this year and be a better defender? He is bound to be better.
And Landen has improved every single year. This year he will be “the man” in our post. He has stepped up in his ownership role. Look at how improved he became on defense last year… I believe we will see an improved Landen this year, too.
So much of the responsibility falls on our guards. I believe, as others do, that Josh will soon surpass Wayne as a quality defender. All the help we can obtain from the perimeter will also help our post players by reducing their fouls on guards and shooting forwards.
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@drgnslayr think josh has already surpassed Selden on D.
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I’ll “defend” last year’s defense a bit.
Paraphrasing remarks made last year by an unnamed Big 12 assistant coach: “Ellis knows our plays better than our players do. We call the play and he’s at the right spot to defend it before we get going.”
I doubt many fans saw what never happened because Ellis prevented it beforehand.
Playing team defense probably requires more experience than playing team offense.
Josh may be a superior individual defender, but can he compensate for his lack of experience, or else learn at Embiid-like speed? I will gladly hope…
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@drgnslayr UA doesn’t need to defend without fouling this year. He’s just not going to play enough to need to play without fouling this year. LL probably plays 30 mpg or so this year so UA will probably play about 10 mpg this year which means he can play muscleball defense and make opponents regret venturing into the lane.
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@Texas-Hawk-10 no, playing good d without fouling is what I want to see. Don’t want to be giving up free throws unnecessarily. He just needs to keep his arms up and not be reaching for the ball, or anything like that. I see big guys do that way too much instead of staying vertical and forcing a tough shot over the top.
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@HawkChamp As big as UA is, his role is going to be to intimidate and keep people out of the lane. A couple of clean, hard fouls early on will make opponents think twice about journeying into the paint.
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I want to see him set a few hard picks!
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@Crimsonorblue22 Me too!! Kids a brick wall, with steel reinforcement. I dont think there is a Marcus Smart type player in the league this year…someone who I really want to see get knocked on his butt.
Man, that screen on Flopper by Kev Young was Epic. I’ll never forget that stuff!!
