Pivotal Game
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I think it’s a game we can win but if I was putting money on it, no way I’d put it on Kansas. As @Woodrow said our road woes have been well documented and with us being young, them pretty much all upperclassmen. I just can’t bring myself to predict a KU win, really hope to be wrong tho.
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It’s looking to me like Baylor and K-State both have 4 more losses coming based on their road schedule. I can really see us losing to KSU and then dropping one more to have 5 losses in conference. Looking at ISU’s schedule leaves me thinking we split with them for the title at 13-5.
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KU 87
KSU 73
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@nuleafjhawk No chance the game is that high scoring. The over / under is 131. This game might be played in the 50’s.
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In predicting the score I think you pointed out the recipe for how KU goes on the road and wins this game. Vegas has the line close (a few points) and the O/U low considering K-St is Kenpom’s 5th ranked defense while KU’s is 13th. Opposite K-St’s offense is horrifically rated 177th in the country while KU has been sputtering around the 20’s for a while now.
Given all that its no surprise this could be a low scoring game if both defenses are better then their offenses. Buta high scoring game is one way KU can walk out of here with an important win. Speed the game up in similar fashion to what KU did to Texas Tech. KU took a season high 30 3’s with its new look 4 guard lineup. Making them goes a long way to speeding up an opponent to keep up. I’m not sure this team is capable of winning a grind it out in the 50’s/low 60’s type of game. The more possessions in this game the bigger chance KU has to prove to be the better team.
That is assuming most things are equal like fair officiating and being able to quiet the crowd from what should be a rowdy bunch of lunatics. I can’t remember the last time KU got anywhere close to a fair officiated game on the road.
Look at the foul difference from KU’s road games. KU has been called for 20 more fouls on the road then their opponents. The disparity would be even greater if it didn’t account for Baylor fouling KU every possession to extend the game. The +10 from Arizona St, + 8 in Rupp and + 7 at Texas are all laughably a JOKE. Maybe this KU team is just a bunch of foul happy muggers but the eye test says otherwise. The only time the ref’s were not a significant factor in a KU road game this year was the dud KU put up at Iowa St.
Keys to winning are pretty much the same every game. Make shots, 50% from the field is always a good baseline no matter where the game is played. It’s also assumed that shooting 50% FG’s will reflect in the teams 3pt shooting % as well. Rebound/limit 2nd chance points to under 10. Lawson/Dotson stay out of foul trouble which limits the minutes of our backups at those positions which are net negatives. If we can do all those I think we win. If we can do most of them still a good shot.
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@Woodrow #1 and #3 are the basis of my prediction. Throw in the “frosting” of Bruce Weber as their coach, I’m sticking with my score.
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Kansas leads 196-93
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Kansas leads in Lawrence 89-35
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Kansas leads in Manhattan 78-47
Kansas leads in Kansas City, Mo 27-11
Kansas leads on neutral courts 29-11
Largest K-State win: 27 points (96-69, on 1/20/1979)
Largest Kansas win: 45 points (90–45, on 3/10/1995)
Longest K-State streak: 5 (72–74, 82–83)
Longest Kansas streak: 31 games (1994–2005)
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@Woodrow We have scored 87 points or more 6 times (so far) this season. Once against (then ranked) #9 Michigan St, once against #5 (now #1) Tennessee. I think we can score.
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@kjayhawks Geez, thanks. Now HEM is going to go on a rant about how Jamari failed even against a little guy to hold position under the basket.
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@mayjay Ya it was a risk I was willing to take, Heck a WV player decked a fan that pushed him a few years ago.
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@Woodrow I will be pleasantly surprised if we win. 3 freshmen in the rotation and, as you say, no senior leadership to calm us down and take over down the stretch. I fear our younger guys will get sped up and rattled. I hope I am wrong.
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KU 71 Silo 67.
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Hawks 75 Hicks 71.
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i wish the game was at 6’ I’m amped up already
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KSU going strong. Heard they were going to yell fbi instead of f you know what. Saw some pics of fbi jackets.
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Motivation
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This game is a big prove it. And by that, is Garrett actually a negative due to how poor he is at shooting? Does the offense show up again with the added spacing? This is a big question that needs answered going forward
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kjayhawks said:
It’s really one of the biggest games that they’ve had in the Octagon. They have a chance to put KU back a full 2 games in the second half of conference play, that place will be crazy with how bad we have been on the road. They will smell blood in the water even more so than usual in a game that is always their super bowl. It’s a huge week for them with us on Tuesday and Baylor on Saturday, they have a chance to get a grasp on the lead with no company. Haven’t seen a Vegas line on the game yet but BPI (joke at best) gives KU a 56% chance to win.
I want to correct one thing you said, “They will smell blood in the water” should read:
"They will smell blood in the sewer…: there, all better.
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@KUSTEVE thats only 4! You said 5
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@Bwag or feedlot, pig sty stie?
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@Crimsonorblue22 works…
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@Woodrow My apologies. I’m an idiot.
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@nuleafjhawk how bad is work today? Maybe everyone is iced in at home, better yet, in a ditch. No harm!
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@Crimsonorblue22 Actually, the only one who’s said anything so far is an OU fan…the Pussycats are uncharacteristically quiet.
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@nuleafjhawk Most of the KSU fans I know are blowing up social media, like it’s their 17 championship in a row. But I give them a good chuckle that they only won by 7 with us down 2 starters and turning it over 23 times.
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@kjayhawks I guess they do have reason to rejoice. Only one more win against us and they will be down an even one hundred (196-96) games to us all time. Whoo hooo.
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@nuleafjhawk Yep, I like it’s one regular season game your seniors are now 1-8 vs KU and your head coach is 3-14. The sun shines on a dog ass every now and then.
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Really not much we can say.
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@Crimsonorblue22 There is always plenty to say lol
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You know, losing “The Streak” wouldn’t bother me at all if we got beat by a really good, dominant team. That won’t be the case this year. The Big 12 is not anywhere near normal strength and every game we’ve lost is because - - - WE LOST - - - we haven’t been beaten or dominated in one single conference game this year except at Iowa State. When you have 20+ turnovers and are a poor free-throw shooting team, you are giving away games. Just giving them away. The streak was fun while it lasted. OK, it’s not over yet, but things aren’t looking good. Here’s my plea to this team - just quit playing like wimps. (no offense to wimps everywhere, most of whom would play harder and smarter than these guys) Hustle once in a while. Don’t make stupid turnovers. Look at the Kansas uniform you’re wearing and pay homage to the ones that have been there before you and really care about the Crimson and Blue.
*** I edited this due to a suggestion from a poster who is wiser and more thoughtful than myself. I want to have fun on here, but I don’t want to offend anyone on purpose ***
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Until kstate realises beating ku is not winning the NC, they will never make a Final 4.
