Announcement: KU Shot 19.4%, Failor Shot 53%; THAT DECIDED THE GAME
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99.9% of the time, KU, nor any other team, can win making 19.4% of treys, while it’s opponent makes 53%.
KU would have defeated Failor handily had the 3pt percentages been reversed.
KU will beat the Clones if their accuracy returns and they guard!
Take away:
a.) keep shooting;
b.) tighten up the defense;
c.) rebound;
d.) protect;
e.) steal.
“It’s still the same old story/
A fight for love and glory/
A case of do or die/
And the fundamental things apply/
As time goes by.”
ROCK CHALK!
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This gets back to the point @drgnslayr made a few weeks ago. Hotness and coldness. If one team is hot and the other is cold from 3, the cold team WILL LOSE. Teams have just figured out that riding hot trey shooting will win games. Any time you get above 45% on more than about 15 attempts, it’s game over. Research shows the only way to slow a hot shooting team is to keep them from shooting. Defense has VERY LITTLE statistical impact on 3 pt %.
On the other end, if you are shooting cold most people say just keep shooting and eventually you’ll shoot back to your average. Bill self generally subscribes to this law of averages approach. I honestly do not know if this is true or not. If you’re best shooter just got a black eye, he might just be cold that day.
But it is clear that the college game is increasingly about who shoots well that game. It’s the exact reason why this team has a shot at a national title. They are good shooters and if they get hot, they WILL win games.
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Svi got a shiner in pregame, which led to the poor shooting. That’s what decided the game.
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@Buster-1926 It happened during the game. Looked like there was a scrum and he got hit across the nose. Nothing malicious, just bad luck.
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Should have been a jump ball but the ref wasn’t watching the guys wrestling on the floor he saw the guy standing up call time.
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Seems like a good idea to try
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@Buster-1926 it was below his eye, rt upper cheek.
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yep i said this directly afterwards, pretty much every other stat was even. We were only out rebounded bye 3 and missed almost twice as many shots.
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kjayhawks said:
yep i said this directly afterwards, pretty much every other stat was even. We were only out rebounded bye 3 and missed almost twice as many shots.
Couldn’t handle Baylor’s lengthy athletes. This team badly needs someone that can consistently penetrate at this level but that just isn’t the case.
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@jaybate-1.0 Those shooting percentages are obviously strongly correlated to winning and losing, but that is not the same thing as causation.
Did KU shoot much worse than usual simply because it was an “off night”? At least in part, that may be the case. But, anecdotally, and these were comments I was making during the game, I thought a lot of the shots from deep were rushed or contested - many weren’t the wide open looks we were getting earlier in the year as a result of really good ball movement and guys squaring up and stepping into shots in rhythm.
Did Baylor shoot much better than its average simply because it was one of those nights. And, maybe - certainly you wouldn’t expect Lecomte to make 2 straight from 23 feet. On the other hand, they had a lot of wide open looks because we weren’t rotating quickly, fighting through screens, or closing out well. The sad fact is that we gave up 50 points in the second half to a team that is anything but an offensive powerhouse.
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