2026 Transfer Portal Chaos/Madness Thread
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@focojayhawk said in 2026 Transfer Portal Chaos/Madness Thread:
What are the real odds that this 'play 5 in 5 years' rule goes through and would it potentially affect this upcoming season?
Not sure but offers have been pulled and a lot of programs are going to wait it out. It's creating a big mess.
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@focojayhawk said in 2026 Transfer Portal Chaos/Madness Thread:
What are the real odds that this 'play 5 in 5 years' rule goes through and would it potentially affect this upcoming season?
Pretty good. Now it’s not clear whether the NCAA will open up another portal window for those guys or not. Then you’ll be limited to the guys like Council who entered just hoping they’d get another year and graduate students who the normal deadlines don’t apply to.
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Question for those who know more about this: did Louisville just recruit over Flory? They landed Ekezie a 7-foot rim runner, albeit a young one. I like Flory a lot and wish we still had him (though not at 5M), but I’m not above enjoying the idea that his playing time just decreased.
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Melvin already played 2 years of of junior college and 3 years at D1, so does the 5 in 5 rule change even help him?
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If Flory goes nba, doesn't he give up those millions! Seems like a dumb question!
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@HoraceZontal I don't think Ekezie will be better than Flory next season. Plus, they could certainly play together.
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I was just reading about Louisville's high reliance of private NIL for their basketball program. It looks like their institutional direct-revenue sharing NIL for this campaign is $20.5 mil. I wonder what their total spending on NIL will be? Didn't we recently receive a huge donation directly to our AD from the Booth family? I'm reading that our rev share to basketball players is a little over $14 mil. I know we have the cost of the football stadium dampening our balance sheet but this could be Self's last year and it seems weird we don't show more appreciation.
I smell a run! (better buy more toilet paper)
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Don't know the answer to those questions but wanted to note I think it is more likely than not that Self is back for a couple more years if he can avoid another heart incident and he hasn't made it back to the F4 (though another heart incident seems likely after 2 in the last 3 or so years).
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@drgnslayr that’s a good observation about the 2 buckets of NIL: private and RevShare. KU uses about 1/3 of its RevShare budget for basketball, which is about as large as you’ll find. Each school has a hard RevShare cap of like $21.3m in the 26-27 year. So we’ll spend probably a bit over $7m on basketball RevShare. Football takes the lion’s share just because of roster numbers. Other sports take whatever is left.
Private NIL (I’ve also seen it referred to as “pure NIL” since it’s ostensibly for actual NIL use) is unlimited but (allegedly) each deal has to be cleared with the NILGo clearinghouse run by Deloitte. Schools that are spending insane amounts are basically daring Deloitte and the NCAA to void these deals since they’re clearly far above fair market value as they define it.
For big money rosters, you’ll see the latter outnumber the former by 3:1 or even 4:1. We compete fine in terms of RevShare but we don’t have the donor base to compete with the biggest spenders, especially given all the other expenses in the AD and revenue disadvantage from being in a second tier league.
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Sounds logical. But why is everyone throwing around this number of $14 mil NIL budget we have this year?
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@drgnslayr because that’s made up of both RevShare and “pure NIL.” The actual number is some higher I believe
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I don't know how much I even believe that number. We just landed another recruit today and it didn't seem like we still had NIL available if it was only $14 mil.
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RJ Luis to LSU??? Shocking. How does Will Wade manage to make that happen?
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NCAA likely to fight that one since he declared for the draft and didn't withdraw (and this isn't an international prospect situation). Always a chance it doesn't hold up in court, but the NCAA has been consistent that players are no longer eligible after that so I feel like like it is a long shot that RJ is eligible when this is all played out.
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Saw today that from Vernon that 7' Serbian center Mihailo Musikic has committed to KU, but will only be announced if the NCAA clears him. He is 24 and has played professionally in Europe since 2022.
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@Texas-Hawk-10 said in 2026 Transfer Portal Chaos/Madness Thread:
Saw today that from Vernon that 7' Serbian center Mihailo Musikic has committed to KU, but will only be announced if the NCAA clears him. He is 24 and has played professionally in Europe since 2022.
Yes that right
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Wasn't sure where to put this, but these segments by Greg Gurley (Fans Wanna Know) are a glimpse into the person. This one is Leroy Blyden, Jr.
https://x.com/KUHoops/status/2077422942107881845/video/1 -
Uh oh? Let the chaos begin? Sounds like the new NCAA "five for five" eligibility rule is in trouble already!
DENVER (AP) — A federal court dealt a perhaps chaos-inducing blow to the NCAA's new eligibility rule Friday when it ruled that all high school class of 2022 athletes who exhausted their fourth season of college eligibility this spring are eligible for a fifth season this school year.
The ruling from U.S. District Judge Charlotte Sweeney in Denver, expected to be appealed, undercuts the NCAA's plan to have the so-called “five for five” rule go into play starting with athletes who enroll in college in fall 2027.
It also has potential to wreak havoc on rosters across the country — for instance, opening the possibility that an undrafted player in an NFL training camp could decide to try to head back to college for a fifth year this upcoming season.
In granting the preliminary injunction, Sweeney said the players “will suffer irreparable harm without” it. She did not sign onto the governing body’s argument that applying the new rule retroactively would create “roster chaos.”
But NCAA President Charlie Baker said it would in responding to the rulings while referencing a bill in Congress designed to provide the NCAA antitrust protection on the eligibility issues.
“Today's rulings and the chaos they bring to college sports are exactly why it's time to pass this bill,” Baker said.
The Colorado ruling came hours after a Tennessee court granted Jalen Washington, who most recently played at Vanderbilt, and 18 other basketball players a fifth season of eligibility.
In June, the NCAA approved its new eligibility model for Division I athletes that will allow five seasons of competition over a five-year period that begins with their full-time enrollment or the academic year following their 19th birthday, whichever occurs first.
While the ruling in Tennessee applied to those 19 basketball players, the one in Colorado cast a wider net, granting the class certification the plaintiffs sought. It means the ruling applies to all Division I players who started their college careers in the 2022-23 season, not just a select list.
