All Politicked Out? Election 2020
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More important maybe than Biden potentially taking Georgia is Perdue dropping below 50% to force a runoff. January 5th for the senate. I’m not too optimistic about getting both seats but at least there’s a chance.
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So currently Perdue has 2,448,369 and Ossoff has 2,347,307 with Shane Hazel, the Libertarian, getting 113,613.
2016, the Senate race: Republican 2,135,806, Democrat: 1,599,726, Libertarian: 162,260
Do you think the numbers on the runoff will be as juiced without Trump on the ticket? Who does that favor? I can’t imagine how intense the get-out-the-vote movement will be for a Senate race.
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If there is a silver lining here, either way, the American public will get the point hammered home without distraction that the Senate is the true seat of power in United States politics.
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Spanberger, my House Rep lost her shit on her fellow democrats on a call today, telling them to never use the word socialist again and to distance themselves from the defund the police movement: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/11/05/house-democrats-angry-over-election-losses-leaders-promises-answers/6179057002/
If you’ll recall, she was one of the House Democrats that called for impeachment, and I’m happy she won reelection.
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I can’t see D’s being that motivated. They got their main objective. How much appetite among lower propensity voters (especially the youths) to turn out for a Senate primary in January?
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@approxinfinity said in All Politicked Out? Election 2020:
Spanberger, my House Rep lost her shit on her fellow democrats on a call today, telling them to never use the word socialist again and to distance themselves from the defund the police movement: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/11/05/house-democrats-angry-over-election-losses-leaders-promises-answers/6179057002/
If you’ll recall, she was one of the House Democrats that called for impeachment, and I’m happy she won reelection.
She’s so, so right. A lot of the voters D’s really want, and lost ground with in 2020 vs. 2016, are more conservative than the liberal whites who run the party.
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I don’t know man, BLM turned out the vote in Georgia. They’ve got momentum, they’re organized, and still mad as hell, especially if Trump keeps running his mouth. Time may deflate Trump supporters more than the Democrats.
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Let’s go socialism. Defund the police. I’ll be donating money to the democratic cause in Georgia.
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@KirkIsMyHinrich said in All Politicked Out? Election 2020:
Let’s go socialism. Defund the police. I’ll be donating money to the democratic cause in Georgia.
Please, please, please, Democrats run on this in every race.
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I’m ready to put Pelosi out to pasture after this one.
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As long as we get rid of Feinstein first.
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@approxinfinity said in All Politicked Out? Election 2020:
I don’t know man, BLM turned out the vote in Georgia. They’ve got momentum, they’re organized, and still mad as hell, especially if Trump keeps running his mouth. Time may deflate Trump supporters more than the Democrats.
For a Presidential, sure. How much do they have left in the tank? Are they going to come out for Jon freaking Ossoff? Maybe the whitest white dude ever to be white? The senior vote will be there for the GOP. The rural vote will be there. Will college kids vote? It’s tougher for me to find the 50% for D’s than R’s is all I’m saying.
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@KirkIsMyHinrich said in All Politicked Out? Election 2020:
As long as we get rid of Feinstein first.
Yes please. I think its time for the House leadership to come from the battlegrounds and not from the California Ivory Tower. Be more machiavellian about it. Put your capital near the warfront.
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@FarmerJayhawk said in All Politicked Out? Election 2020:
@approxinfinity said in All Politicked Out? Election 2020:
I don’t know man, BLM turned out the vote in Georgia. They’ve got momentum, they’re organized, and still mad as hell, especially if Trump keeps running his mouth. Time may deflate Trump supporters more than the Democrats.
For a Presidential, sure. How much do they have left in the tank? Are they going to come out for Jon freaking Ossoff? Maybe the whitest white dude ever to be white? The senior vote will be there for the GOP. The rural vote will be there. Will college kids vote? It’s tougher for me to find the 50% for D’s than R’s is all I’m saying.
lolol
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Nobody ever accused them of being good at this. DiFi will survive. Even though she’s like 85, she’s a battle axe. She went through some ish in San Fran and won’t go lightly. Like last time when she buried the California Senate President. My hunch is Pelosi will too. She kept her entire caucus together after losing 60+ seats in 2010.
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They can keep gettin’ dem checks. Just pass the torch. I nominate the freshmen democrats that called for impeachment when this country needed it:
All of them won reelection. Only 1 is in California. Freshman female reps with military backgrounds and integrity. Winners.
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Lindsey Graham endorsing Trump today, little shiny slimeball that he is.
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Rick Santorum now saying that he’s getting lots of “testimonial videos” from “friends” reporting widespread fraud. Is he referring to twitter trolls? This guy has lots of friends?
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Former pols always have a lot of friends
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@approxinfinity do they drop the libertarian?
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@FarmerJayhawk said in All Politicked Out? Election 2020:
@approxinfinity said in All Politicked Out? Election 2020:
I don’t know man, BLM turned out the vote in Georgia. They’ve got momentum, they’re organized, and still mad as hell, especially if Trump keeps running his mouth. Time may deflate Trump supporters more than the Democrats.
For a Presidential, sure. How much do they have left in the tank? Are they going to come out for Jon freaking Ossoff? Maybe the whitest white dude ever to be white? The senior vote will be there for the GOP. The rural vote will be there. Will college kids vote? It’s tougher for me to find the 50% for D’s than R’s is all I’m saying.
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@approxinfinity said in All Politicked Out? Election 2020:
@FarmerJayhawk said in All Politicked Out? Election 2020:
@approxinfinity said in All Politicked Out? Election 2020:
I don’t know man, BLM turned out the vote in Georgia. They’ve got momentum, they’re organized, and still mad as hell, especially if Trump keeps running his mouth. Time may deflate Trump supporters more than the Democrats.
For a Presidential, sure. How much do they have left in the tank? Are they going to come out for Jon freaking Ossoff? Maybe the whitest white dude ever to be white? The senior vote will be there for the GOP. The rural vote will be there. Will college kids vote? It’s tougher for me to find the 50% for D’s than R’s is all I’m saying.
lolol
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@Crimsonorblue22 said in All Politicked Out? Election 2020:
@approxinfinity do they drop the libertarian?
Yes. Only the top 2 move on in each race.
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@Crimsonorblue22 said in All Politicked Out? Election 2020:
@approxinfinity do they drop the libertarian?
Yup!
@FarmerJayhawk They need to play this on repeat down there of Perdue deliberately mispronouncing Kamala Harris’ name at a Trump Rally:
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It’s pretty bad. Trump croney needs a beat down.
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@approxinfinity said in All Politicked Out? Election 2020:
@Crimsonorblue22 said in All Politicked Out? Election 2020:
@approxinfinity do they drop the libertarian?
Yup!
@FarmerJayhawk They need to play this on repeat down there of Perdue deliberately mispronouncing Kamala Harris’ name at a Trump Rally:
F for all our friends in GA who have to get blasted by mail and ads for the next two months.
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@FarmerJayhawk how many states do this? Kinda expensive! I hate that chick!
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@Crimsonorblue22 said in All Politicked Out? Election 2020:
@FarmerJayhawk how many states do this? Kinda expensive! I hate that chick!
I believe MS, Alabama, AR, Georgia, SC, Louisiana, and California. Could be more a couple I’m missing? Maine switched to an instant runoff this cycle (didn’t matter because Collins hit 50)
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- Alabama
- Arkansas
- Georgia
- Mississippi
- North Carolina
- Oklahoma
- South Carolina
- South Dakota - Only for congressional and gubernatorial elections
- Texas
- Vermont - Only for tie votes
https://ballotpedia.org/Runoff_election
(i’m just spitting out what this site said)
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The sun rises on Georgia Blue…
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DDHQ called PA. Biden at 273. Curtains.
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Boy, it’s sure nice to see all these prominent Republicans breaking silence and condemning the Trump Administration.
Oh. Wait.
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Cruz
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It’s early still, but if the trends continue then congratulations to Kamala Harris as the first woman and person of color to become vice president.
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@KirkIsMyHinrich said in All Politicked Out? Election 2020:
It’s early still, but if the trends continue then congratulations to Kamala Harris as the first woman and person of color to become vice president.
Not quite! Charles Curtis, a Kansan and Native American, was Hoover’s VP.
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Well the first woman vice president anyway. Good for her.
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BIDEN WINS! HATE LOOSES! WOMEN WIN! BLM!
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@FarmerJayhawk so this may be a dumb question, since they are still counting votes, why have they already called a re-election for the senators in Georgia? Couldn’t one of them gotten over 50%? More votes. Provisional votes still coming in. Please don’t embarrass me
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@Crimsonorblue22 said in All Politicked Out? Election 2020:
@FarmerJayhawk so this may be a dumb question, since they are still counting votes, why have they already called a re-election for the senators in Georgia? Couldn’t one of them gotten over 50%? More votes. Provisional votes still coming in. Please don’t embarrass me
There are no dumb questions you don’t know the answer to! So in the Warnock/Loeffler/Collins race, nobody is getting close to 50%. Not sure if Warnock hit 35. In the Perdue/Ossoff race, Perdue is close to 50% but I’m 99.99% sure he’s not going to get there. If 10,000 more votes were to come in and Perdue got them all, he still wouldn’t hit 50%. So going off what’s still left to count (mostly very Democratic areas), it’s mathematically impossible for Perdue to get to 50% of the total vote. So we’ll have Warnock/Loeffler and Perdue/Ossoff runoffs on January 5th! Does that answer your question?
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Warnock out to a BLAZING start. Great ad. https://twitter.com/reverendwarnock/status/1324321816102506497?s=21
And cards on the table, I have no love for Loeffler. I wouldn’t hate seeing each side get one of the runoffs.
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An interesting thread on media: https://twitter.com/mattsheffield/status/1324908316548493313?s=21
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@RockChalkinTexas said in All Politicked Out? Election 2020:
BIDEN WINS! HATE LOOSES! WOMEN WIN! BLM!
Isn’t it nice that there are some states with a majority of really great voters?
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@mayjay That was supposed to be fireworks!
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@mayjay said in All Politicked Out? Election 2020:
@mayjay That was supposed to be fireworks!
I was gonna say… that looks a lot like some Rona
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I ordered some celebratory alcohol and wine today. It will be nice to drink because of something positive and not related to fear/anxiety/depression.
I have to keep reminding myself that this is not just good-bye to Trump, but to other favorites like DeVos, Miller, Barr, and the rest of the gang.
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The four seasons total landscaping stuff is just too much. Writers of “veep” are so mad they didn’t think of that!
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@KirkIsMyHinrich said in All Politicked Out? Election 2020:
I ordered some celebratory alcohol and wine today. It will be nice to drink because of something positive and not related to fear/anxiety/depression.
I have to keep reminding myself that this is not just good-bye to Trump, but to other favorites like DeVos, Miller, Barr, and the rest of the gang.
First, I
agree on celebrating something for a change being nice.That being said, I’m trying to be realistic that Trump is still going to be a disruptive force until he dies or the world changes and people like him will be disrupted forces until the world changes.
There is a massive amount of work to be done to get to a better place culturally not just better policy.
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@approxinfinity Fully agreed. And today is almost more of a relief than a celebration. I’ve already given money to Georgia for the runoff on January 5th. Even if we just get one, it will make 2022 easier and maybe Biden will be able to get more done in the back half of his presidency.
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@approxinfinity Wonder what the over/under is on the number of pardons Trump issues before he is ushered out?
But a bigger problem will be that the next 84 days will be filled with replacement of career feds by political appointees as Trump acolytes burrow deep into the civil service. They issued new regs allegedly giving themselves the power to reclassify thousands of jobs out of the protected “dismissal only for cause” ranks to “dismissal on a whim” ranks (currently challenged in court, I believe).
The disruptions to federal careers and public policy from this administration will last a generation.
