This REALLY Bugs Me!
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@approxinfinity Thanks for explaining! I’m not always a good in-between-the-lines kinda guy!
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@HighEliteMajor Hey HEM, you know, when you were floating the idea that maybe a project like Karviar Shephard would have been a better recruit than some of the OAD recruits 2 years ago, I think I was not in your camp. I wanted to agree with you now, but I looked at his stats and saw that he seems to have regressed a bit, instead of improving year over year. So a few questions… Is Trent Johnson doing it wrong with Karviar? Did something else happen that derailed his development? Do you still feel that way about Karviar in particular with 20/20 hindsight?
Again, I really came around on the idea of focusing more on project players after this year. Liked Oubre, but tired of our simplistic offense, blown defense, early outs, and the timebomb that is the massive rebuilding effort after next season, when we likely lose our whole roster yet again, so I’m not criticizing the idea.
Also, would it be fun in the off season for us to do a long standing game where we all get to choose 5 recruits from other universities, maybe one from each tier of 1-10, 11-20, 20-30, 30-50, and 51-100 or something like that, and then see how they pan out over the course of several seasons?
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@approxinfinity I’m picking Simmons 1-10 Diallo 11-20 Bragg 20-30 Tyler Dorsey 30-40
Of course Bragg is a KU guy so I may have to adjust per your rules and hopefully Diallo will be too!
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@dylans What do you think fair criteria are… Contributions to the success of their college program during the season and post season, and subsequent success in the NBA only in so much as it helps the college team succeed in the future?
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@approxinfinity The easiest way to evaluate would be where the players get drafted, that would take our personal subjectivity out of the equation.
Otherwise I’d have to rate Perry Ellis as a better college player than Andrew Wiggins based on overall production and program impact. I’m pretty sure that would start a fight.
I’m not really sure how to properly rate the players impact.
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@dylans I think we have to come up with something other than draft position, as the NBA drafts on potential too much. But… I’m not sure how you quantify it either.
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Are you sure about that draft? Being a Bulls fan I thought the Bulls should have gone for Beasley instead of Derrick Rose! Shows how much I know.
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@dylans you are crazy!
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@Crimsonorblue22 Yes I am.
@approxinfinity How about 10 points for lottery pick 6 for 1st round 3 for second round. 1 for undrafted free agent pickup.
5 points for a conference championship, 10 points for a final four 15 points national championship.
10 points for top 10 national production in points, rebounds or assists. (This can be skewed by weaker competion)
8 points for leading the confernce in points, rebounds or assists.
5 points for leading the team in points, rebounds or assists.
3 points for 2nd on team in points, rebounds or assists.
20 points for 1st team All America 15 points for 2nd team 10 points for honorable mention
10 points for 1st team conference 5 points for 2nd team conference
10 points for national player of the week
5 points for each player or rookie of the week award in the conference.
Or something much simpler.
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@wissoxfan83 Bulls #1 was Rose, Heat #2 was Beasley. I thought the same thing. Wanted the Bulls to draft Beasley. But that was as much due to the fact that I didn’t want to like Rose. I just looked and was surprised to see he had 6 rebounds and 8 assists in that finals game. I remember a prayer banked 3, and thinking that Mario outplayed him.
I always liked CDR, and came to appreciate Rose after the fact. Dorsey and a couple other of the kids on Memphis, not so much.
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@dylans said:
Or something much simpler.
ha
I like the formula. we should come up with some recent people and see how they shake out. Also, if you get multiple years out of a guy, do you add those years together? so a 4 year guy putting up good production almost certainly will beat all OADs right?
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@approxinfinity A multi year player will generally have more of an impact on a program than a OAD (melo aside). Should it be weighted? Or just go with the players best season?
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Wiggins
10 lotto pick
5 Conference Champs
5 led team in points
15 second team AA
10 1st team b12
5x2 B12 newcomer of week
10 National Freshman of week
65 total
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This sucked to put together. I need to go gouge out my eyes now.
J. Okafor
20 Nat. Champs
10 Lotto pick (projected)
20 first team AA
10 Acc Player of year
35 7x Acc Player/Rookie of week
10 Led team in points
10 led team in rebounds
115 total points
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@dylans I like this idea a lot. so first example seems about right for relative value between those two. I like doing year by year, then you can add the total value of all on team each year to see how the OAD carousel stacks up to 3 or 4 year equivalents by adding the early departures’ seasons together.
I do wonder though, how someone like Releford or EJ would stack up. This system still seems to only favor those who are receiving media accolades more than points for the actual production.
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My post with Coach Self’s comments about missing on Baker were not at all related to recruiting him and not getting him; KU DID NOT recruit Baker at all. The comment Coach Self made was in relation to not seeing his potential at the time, no one really did and his only option was to walk on at WSU…who would have thought he would turn out the way he did.
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When I brought up Baker, Burks, Ojeleye, etc., I wasn’t meaning to imply that I thought Self should have recruited them. I was just responding to another comment about there not being any good talent in the area. There are a few that turned out to be pretty good. But it does seem this area is usually slim pickings.
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@JayHawkFanToo self asked him to try out for a walk on and baker said he hadn’t played In awhile and didn’t want to look bad, headed to WSU and walked on there.
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@approxinfinity I’m afraid my system will probably skew towards OADs since they are media darlings. I’ll try to score out a few lower ranked guys to see how that goes. Or feel free to check it out yourself I’ve been finding most of the data at sprorts reference. I’m afraid I’ll be busy today until late.
If the numbers don’t add up we might give production (points reb assists) more points. I haven’t looked at any of the advanced metric stuff as I normally don’t, but that could be simpler way of grading the players. WAR or something similiar.
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@approxinfinity I tried to take care most times to say a “Karviar Shepherd-like guy” or something like that just in case he flamed out. Just hedging.
But you are right, his stats aren’t great. But this is where I have faith in Self. I think Shepherd would have been better here. More talent around him. A system that would be directly geared toward getting him the ball on the block.
So yes, right now, if I could go back and we would get Karviar Shepherd, and we would never have had Embiid, Cliff, or the next guy (Diallo/Thorne) this season, I’d do it.
On your tiers, I used Rivals:
- 1-10: I’ll go Skal Labissiere.
- 11-20: Here I’ll be a homer and pick Bragg.
- 21-30: Gotta go with my favorite recruit from this class for Self’s system, Tyler Davis (meaning, a big guy that will be in college three seasons, high talent).
- 31-50: Thomas Bryant, Indiana.
- 50-100: Doral Moore, Wake Forest.
My last three guys, Davis, Bryant, and Moore, are all post players that I would have loved to see at Kansas (given what Self likes to do). And obviously, not OADs. Broken record stuff here, but I’d take any one of these guys now and skip the Diallo, etc. OAD drama.
By the way, on Baker, you can’t fault Self for not recruiting Baker. I know we’d like to think that guys like him should be spotted – that’s for WSU to do. Self’s focus on top 100 guys is his focus, as it should be.
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@dylans since bb is a team sport, I don’t know this could be fair? How far they go depends on who’s around them too. Kevin durant and Texas for example. You aren’t measuring defense or motor, you can’t, so there’s no way to gauge Releford or TRob. Wiggins was our best defender, how do you put that in your system?
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@HighEliteMajor I don’t want to berate Traylor, but was he recruited only because he went to IMG or was there something else the coaching staff was looking for?
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I bet we can land Diallo if we offer him Self’s joy ride jet! It’s all his for 5 months… the months he will be a Jayhawk!
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@drgnslayr I don’t think so!
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@Wigs2 I think it was an attempt to get DeAndre Daniels
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@Wigs2 He was recruited because we were stuck, but IMG was a nice link (and @DanR’s recollection might be right). Here’s what I recall: Self stated that he was surprised when both Morrises turned pro (really, it was Markieff that surprised him as I recall. He wasn’t surprised when it happened in April, but he didn’t think Kieff would be turning pro until late in the season). That was the spring/summer we scrambled and signed Traylor, B. Anderson, and KY. Only Anderson was on our radar before the Morris announcement. Traylor was likely to go to Ok. St. or Minnesota (or something like that). Self was in a tough spot because if the twins returned, and we had TRob, those were big roadblocks to top guys. But after the Morrises turned pro, we missed on DeAndre Daniels and Otto Porter. Can you imagine if Porter would have been on our 2011-12 team? Yikes.
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Spot on. I just posted something along the same line except comparing Wilt and Bill Russell. While Wilt dominated Russell at the position, Russel had a much better team and his teams won most of their games and history has been much kinder to him than Wilt.
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@HighEliteMajor Otto Porter is on my short list of like-to-have-had players that we recruited. Along with Chris Douglas-Roberts (though we won without him), Greg Monroe, Trevor Lacey, Kaleb Tarczewski, Michael Snaer, and Julius Randle.
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DeAndre Daniels… the missing link that gave UCONN enough post presence to hang with one of Kentucky’s tall teams and bring home the gold. Hard to believe… but the scoreboard doesn’t lie.
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Lots of talk out there that Skal Labissiere might not get cleared by the NCAA and might not be able to play for UK. If this happens and the squid does not pick up any of the available to players left, how much trouble is he in since his approach is to win with overwhelming superior talent?
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@JayHawkFanToo I would be ecstatic if that happened! I had no idea that was going on.
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@drgnslayr “Ball dont lie”
