@sfbahawk
Good to see you back posting.
I see OADs like Andrew and Josh as special cases regarding the failure to have a trey being acutely detrimental to their ability to perform in D1.
Notice that Andrew Wiggins tore up the NBA as soon as he got there, even though he appeared to struggle in D1. I hypothesized that it was not that he could not score in D1, but that his handlers did not want him to risk injury by trying to hang big numbers game in and game out. Once in the NBA, the handlers had gotten paid, and Andrew was starting to draw his checks, and so it was okay for him to go ahead and be a threat every game. And the NBA reputedly tends to have its refs protect its stars and future stars, so that’s another reason a guy like Andrew could go hard every game in the NBA.
The problem for Andrew, and I believe Josh, is that they face in D1 a real injury risk, if they try to go hard every game’ i.e., the defenders are going to clock him and keep clocking him. And they can do it without significant, egregious penalty, if they can hang back and clock him on the way to iron, rather than have to punch him in the face 23 from the basket. If Andrew and Josh were BenMac grade trifectates, then they could make the D1 players play them honestly and burn them on the way to iron. But without a solid trey, D1 defenders are going to punch him in the face, and put him on the floor, and upend him, as he tries to get past them laying off, and there will be a considerable probability of injury that could hurt his draft rank and shorten his earning career.
As a result, the prudent thing to do is stand outside and be decoy most games. Get inside on some back doors. Have branding game against some cupcakes. And generally don’t be threat to go off…just get through the season.
I believe Josh will have a few branding games. And I believe he will be a solid rotation player. And I believe next year he will fare well in the NBA. But this year in D1? He just doesn’t appear to have the trey ball to keep them honest.