So there was no trade of any of the top 5 picks. There was a lot of talk regarding whether Philly would deal the third pick, or Utah would deal the 5 to move up, or even Cleveland dealing the 1. None of it happened, although I thought something was afoot when Cleveland went their entire time to make their pick.
As for the second prediction, I’m looking at 4 guys as potentially the guy to be one of the five best in 5 years - Zach Levine (13), TJ Warren (14), James Young (17) and Gary Harris (19). I’d also keep an eye on Tyler Ennis. It’s not that I think any of the guys at the top are bad - I just think there’s a good possibility that one of these guys explodes. I have my eye especially on James Young. He’s a very good scorer that got overshadowed in college, but could really develop in the NBA. He’s with a very good franchise with a good coach, so that should help.
Embiid went 3. I was surprised that Philly pulled the trigger, but I see what they are trying to do with very athletic big guys. It’s a risk, but one that could pay off huge when everyone is healthy in a couple of years (knock on wood).
We will know in three years who regrets the Embiid pick. Stay tuned.
Really classy moment from the NBA last night with the league “drafting” Isaiah Austin. A special moment that you could tell meant a lot to him. Wishing him the best moving forward.
New predictions:
Rookie of the Year - Jabari Parker. He will probably lead Milwaukee in scoring at around 20 per. He’s also a good enough rebounder that he will contribute there as well. I don’t see anyone else being able to put up those kind of numbers. Julius Randle could have a nice year in LA as a rebounder, but I don’t think he will be as good a scorer right off the bat, so he won’t be able to stay with Parker in the voting.
Biggest Bust Risk (injury division) - Obviously this is Embiid. Until he plays a full season, this is a huge risk.
Biggest Bust Risk (lottery pick) - I don’t worry about guys that can’t shoot if they can do other things, so Gordon, Payton and guys like that don’t worry me so much. That makes Zach Levine the biggest bust risk to me. He’s athletic and can play, but isn’t terribly consistent, and if he can’t play the point, it’s hard to find a fit for him.
Biggest Bust Risk (first round) - PJ Hairston. Hanging out with the wrong people is a sure way to derail your career. That’s what his undoing was in college, and unless he has corrected that, no amount of skill will keep him in the League.
Late First Round surprise - I have to point to two guys here. Rodney Hood for the Jazz and Shabazz Napier for the Heat. It’s clear the Heat are going to move in a different direction at the point. It looks like Chalmers will probably walk and sign elsewhere. Napier has a chance to start for (if Lebron stays) a very good Miami team. Hood is another nice piece for Utah as they try and rebuild.
Best Second Rounders - I really like a bunch of the second round guys to go on to have successful careers. Cleanthony Early should be a good one in NY, particularly if Carmelo leaves (which I think he will). Jarnell Stokes is a perfect fit in Memphis off the bench. Glenn Robinson III is another top notch player that just slipped because of the depth of this draft. Russ Smith is a perfect change of pace scorer off the bench in the NBA. There could be others as teams move guys around once free agency gets going next week.