more than 5 min scouting report on Stanford
Lulufulu85 last edited by
Scouting report and thoughts for the Stanford game tomorrow 3/23 at 1115.
More than 5 minute Scouting report on Stanford. Kenpom is giving KU a 69% chance to beat Stanford 75-70. According to Kenpom, Stanford’s pace ranks right at the D1 average. Right on par with KU’s So we shouldn’t expect a slowed down, grind it out type of game from them. That being said, Kenpom doesn’t have them locked down as a zone or a M2M team, which says to me that KU can expect many different looks on defense from them. They might press full court because they should know we are vulnerable to that type of defense and they will show us different zones and they will play some man to man. They shoot the ball well as their Offense EFG% is 51.7 to KU’s 54.7 and their Defense EFG% is 48.1 to KU’s 47.2 Stanford doesn’t seem to turn the ball over much as their % per 100 possessions is 16.7 to KU’s 19.1 D1 ave is 18.3 but Stanford doesn’t force a lot of turn overs either. Stanford is ranked 254 in offensive rebounding %, Way below KU’s rank of 20. So Stanford doesn’t crash the offensive glass to hard. Stanford’s defensive rebounding is ranked #22 and KU’s is ranked right behind at 62. Their bigs can clean up our misses pretty good. I might be reading the stats more but Stanford appears to foul more on defense than KU. This is good because KU plays up to 9 guys in a game where as Stanford uses 7 most of the time. What concerns me most about Stanford is the matchup problems they pose. Randle, their PG is 6-2 and it seems that his Assist/TO ratio is worse than Naadir’s I expect Randle’s length to bother Naadir. Powell is a 6-10 240lb SF, He can’t shoot the 3 but his height and weight may bother Wiggins especially if he gets into the post. He has a pretty good rank for Defensive Rebounding. Nastic is a 6-11 C. He is their rim protector. His block % per 100 possessions is 5.3%. Embiid’s block rank is much higher but we don’t have him for this game. So far we have 3 match up advantages to Stanford. Randle their PG and Brown their 6-6 SG can both shoot over 40% from trey. Stanford relies more on the 3 ball than KU does. Stanford is more experienced and taller/bigger than KU in effective height. What I don’t know is how we are going to beat Stanford. In Stanford’s losses, they have not shot well which implies tough defense on the part of the winner. KU’s defensive rating is nearly identical to Stanford’s per Kenpom. KU scores about 80 PPG and allows 70ppg. Stanford scores 73.5 PPG and allows 68ppg. IF KU is going to win this game, they need to get Stanford’s bigs in foul trouble early and they need to not turn the ball over. They need Tarik and Jamari to play bigger and stronger than their match ups. I know Coach will start Wiggins at the 3. But Powell has 2 inches and 40 lbs on him. Will Perry be able to help him? I think Traylor is a better choice to bring in. Can Naadir keep Randle in front of him? I think Frankamp and Mason will have to play more minutes as well.
@Lulufulu85-I caught Pomeroy on the radio last week & his most convincing stat admission was point margin/differential in W’s & L’s. This is the one he says he observes as the most influential. So, if it’s one or a hundred, we still move forward. But my most fervent hope is that the refs let these guys play & Black & the rest of the team play smart. Hey, why the H did you come to Kansas anyway?..To play in these games on this stage for a shot at the National Championship, that’s why. “This is your time” to quote Herb Brooks. Tarik & Jam Tray must play under control-so does Wigs, they have to stay on the court or it may be a sad bus trip home later on. I think Dawkins will throw some strategic presses & sporadic zones in the mix, so recognition & quick adjustments will be crucial. In fact, I look for some traps right out of the chute to disrupt Tharpe & Andrew. Perry will see some doubles & has to recognize quickly when he is unable to put it on the floor & get it reversed quickly. No doubt we can take these guys, but we gotta bring the “A” game from here on out, cause the cupcakes are all eaten up.
jaybate 1.0 last edited by
Kick ass takes both of you. Thx for getting me oriented to what we are up against in some QA detail!
Plus just maybe the early start will work to our advantage as Self just said Stanford’s pre game meal was at 5:00am this morning. I was already thinking about Bloody Marys when I hit the floor about 7:00 myself. Gotta fess up I’ve had some experience with that at the card table through the years. Also emptied a keg or two at sunrise, but those days are just memories. If I acted like that now, I’d probably miss the tip-maybe even the whole damn game.
jaybate 1.0 last edited by
A man in his youth is a remarkable force of nature!
drgnslayr last edited by drgnslayr
This game is built for us…
We need to win the foul war… pound the ball inside and take no prisoners. Andrew drive the paint, draw fouls.
Everyone needs to try a head fake for the first time this year! Try it, you might like it!
If Naa cracks we have Conner.
We need to keep the ball moving… don’t play sped up but push the ball up the court and tire out this thin-benched team. Maybe push some open-court finishes… Andrew?
Come on, Bam Bam… make it two in a row! Show us that Friday’s game wasn’t a fluke!